

American · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
UTSA Roadrunners
HC Jeff Traylor (7th yr) · OC Rick Bowie · DC Jess Loepp
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-4-4 · SHOTGUN 98%


American · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
UTSA
Roadrunners · HC Jeff Traylor (7th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-4-4


UTSA
6-1 · 3-0 American
1 loss now · CFP 2% in sims · CCG 31% · title 12%
Latest from the beat
UTSA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W45–16 | −28.5−28.5 | W | +0.48 | 64% | 36% | 93% | 57 | 28.7 | ||
| 2 | W31–26 | +1.5+1.5 | W | +0.01 | 46% | 47% | 58% | 74 | 24.9 | ||
| 3 | L6–30 | +30+30 | W | −0.42 | 27% | 45% | 3% | 46 | 28.0 | ||
| 4 | W59–45 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.20 | 51% | 40% | 74% | 68 | 21.0 | ||
| 5 | W16–14 | −12−12 | L | +0.12 | 37% | 31% | 56% | 70 | 26.9 | ||
| 6 | W31–24 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.03 | 57% | 41% | 63% | 74 | 27.3 | ||
| 7 | W38–34 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.19 | 44% | 50% | 60% | 70 | 27.1 | ||
| 8 | SAT 8:00 ESPNUSAT 8:00 | −2.5−2.5 | — | — | — | — | 47% | 123 | — | ||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 | NOV 5NOV 5 | −0.2 proj−0.2 | 50% | ||||||||
| 11 | NOV 14NOV 14 | +4.9 proj+4.9 | 38% | ||||||||
| 12 | NOV 21NOV 21 | −4.3 proj−4.3 | 60% | ||||||||
| 13 | NOV 28NOV 28 | −2.9 proj−2.9 | 57% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 433 OF 439 PLAYS433 OF 439 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun98% | 98% | 51% | +0.13 | 46% |
| Under center2% | 2% | 57% | +0.27 | 29% |
| No-huddle81% | 81% | 54% | +0.11 | 47% |
| Huddle19% | 19% | 42% | +0.21 | 44% |
In shotgun on 98 % of tagged snaps, passing 51 % of the time (+0.12 EPA a play; +0.27 under center). No-huddle on 81 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 3-4-4 (5 of 6).
Next game
SAT 8:00 ESPNU · YULMAN STADIUMSAT 8:00 ESPNU
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American crews−0.6 to +0.3 · 34 games | −0.2 | −0.6 to +0.3 | 34 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews−0.5 to +0.6 · 11 games | +0.1 | −0.5 to +0.6 | 11 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 3 games | −0.6 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | +1.3 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | +3.0 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −3.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | +3.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on UTSA than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 8 games · + = more on UTSA than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | UTSAUTSA | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.08 | 58th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43.6% | 52nd | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.24 | 113th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.13 | 31st | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.06 | 94th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 29.2% | 104th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.23 | 67th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.0% | 45th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 81st | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.00 | 87th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50% | 119th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.8 | 44th | 28.0 |

