American · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
UTSA Roadrunners
HC Jeff Traylor (7th yr) · OC Rick Bowie · DC Jess Loepp
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-4-4 · SHOTGUN 98%
Power rating−0.573rd
CFP odds2%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—14 of 30 scored
American · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
UTSA
Roadrunners · HC Jeff Traylor (7th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-4-4
Power rating−0.573rd
CFP odds · outlook2%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—14 of 30 scored
UTSA
6-1 · 3-0 American
POWER RATING−0.573rd in FBS
CFP ODDS2%no change
PROJ. WINS8.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 2% in sims · CCG 31% · title 12%
FAN PULSE—14 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U4-3 · 4-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG58%4.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0482nd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UT Rio Grande ValleyUT Rio Grande Valley | W45–16 | −28.5−28.5 | W | +0.48 | 64% | 36% | 93% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA +0.48 · SR 64% · O 59.5WE 93% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Texas Stateat Texas State | W31–26 | +1.5+1.5 | W | +0.01 | 46% | 47% | 58% | U 65.5 | — | |
EPA +0.01 · SR 46% · U 65.5WE 58% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Texasat Texas | L6–30 | +30+30 | W | −0.42 | 27% | 45% | 3% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA −0.42 · SR 27% · U 58.5WE 3% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Colorado StateColorado State | W59–45 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.20 | 51% | 40% | 74% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.20 · SR 51% · O 56.5WE 74% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Riceat Rice | W16–14 | −12−12 | L | +0.12 | 37% | 31% | 56% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.12 · SR 37% · U 56.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | W31–24 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.03 | 57% | 41% | 63% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA +0.03 · SR 57% · O 49.5WE 63% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   NavyNavy | W38–34 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.19 | 44% | 50% | 60% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.19 · SR 44% · O 52.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Tulaneat TulaneNEXT | SAT 8:00 ESPNUSAT 8:00 | −2.5−2.5 | — | — | — | — | 47% | 51.5 | +1.4 | |
MODEL +1.4 · TOTAL 51.5WP 47% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Florida Atlanticat Florida Atlantic | NOV 5NOV 5 | —−0.2 | 50% | −0.2 | ||||||
MODEL −0.2WP 50% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   North TexasNorth Texas | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+4.9 | 38% | +4.9 | ||||||
MODEL +4.9WP 38% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at UABat UAB | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−4.3 | 60% | −4.3 | ||||||
MODEL −4.3WP 60% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   TulsaTulsa | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−2.9 | 57% | −2.9 | ||||||
MODEL −2.9WP 57% | |||||||||||