California
3-43-4 · 2-2 ACC · ATS 2-5
12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · CW
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park
WIN PROB
84%
SMU
SMU
#23 · 5-1#23 · 5-1 · 3-1 ACC · ATS 1-3-2
- Spread
- SMU −19
- Open −17.5 · −110
- Total
- 55
- Open 52.5 · o −110
- Model line
- SMU −16.2+2.8
- Model total 53.8
- Win probability
- 84%
- Projected score
- 18.8 – 35.0
- CAL – SMU
- Projected plays
- 138
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- SMU −19
- open −17.5
- Model
- −16.2+2.8
- SMU
- Total
- 55
- model 53.8
| Market · consensusMarket | Open | Now | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread SMU | −17.5 | −19 | −16.2 |
TotalRLMSTEAM · 4 BOOKS | 52.5 | 55.0 | 53.8 |
Moneyline SMU | −873 | −1132 | −512 |
Line movement
−19
−18
−17
−17.5−16.2MODEL- MON 8:00PTotal 54.5 → 53.5 · 71% tickets overTotal 54.5 → 53.5 · 71% on overRLM
- TUE 11:45ATotal 53.5 → 54.5STEAM · 4 BOOKS
- TUE 12:09PTotal 53.5 → 54.5
- FRI 10:00ATotal 54.5 → 55.5
Steam = 4+ books in 5 min. RLM = line moves against the ticket majority.
Bet splits
DRAFTKINGS · VIA DK NETWORK
CAL +19 · 33% / 41%SMU −19 · 67% / 59%
Over · 71% / 32%Under · 29% / 68%
DraftKings bettors, as of 5:00 AM ET. Top bar tickets, bottom bar handle. A 39-pt gap on the under suggests larger, sharper bets.