California
3-53-5 · 2-3 ACC · ATS 2-5
20 – 59
FinalCW
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park
Final
20 – 59
CW
SMU
#23 · 6-1#23 · 6-1 · 4-1 ACC · ATS 1-3-2
- Spread
- SMU −18.5
- Open −17.5
- Total
- 55.5
- Open 52.5
- Model line
- SMU −16.2+2.3
- Model total 53.8
- Win probability
- 84%
- Projected score
- 18.8 – 35.0
- CAL – SMU
- Projected plays
- 138
- FBS avg 132 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- SMU −18.5
- open −17.5
- Model
- −16.2+2.3
- SMU
- Total
- 55.5
- model 53.8
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric |   CALCAL |   SMUSMU | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 28.8 | 25.2 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 70.3 | 67.6 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 58.7% | 51.5% | 48.0% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | +7.2% | +3.9% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 52.8% | 46.8% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 30% | 36% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 30:18 | 29:51 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 28.3 | Own 33.9 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%