California
3-43-4 · 2-2 ACC · ATS 2-5
12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · CW
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park
WIN PROB
84%
SMU
SMU
#23 · 5-1#23 · 5-1 · 3-1 ACC · ATS 1-3-2
- Spread
- SMU −19
- Open −17.5 · −110
- Total
- 55
- Open 52.5 · o −110
- Model line
- SMU −16.2+2.8
- Model total 53.8
- Win probability
- 84%
- Projected score
- 18.8 – 35.0
- CAL – SMU
- Projected plays
- 138
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- SMU −19
- open −17.5
- Model
- −16.2+2.8
- SMU
- Total
- 55
- model 53.8
Previous meetings
SERIES TIED 1–1 SINCE 2013
Recent form
LAST FIVE FINALS · CLOSING LINES · NET EPA / PLAY
California| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs  WAKEWake Forest | 7–41L | +10L | 54.5U | −1.28 |
| 6 | vs  VTVirginia Tech | 25–20W | +11.5W | 51.5U | +0.05 |
| 5 | @  UNLVUNLV | 31–39L | +2L | 52.5O | −0.14 |
| 4 | vs  CLEMClemson | 10–24L | +2.5L | 52.5U | −0.23 |
| 3 | vs WAGWagner | 49–7W | −58L | 65.5U | +0.82 |
SMU| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs  UVAVirginia | 23–13W | −10P | 51.5U | +0.22 |
| 5 | vs  BCBoston College | 25–16W | −21.5L | 55.5U | +0.10 |
| 4 | vs  MOSTMissouri State | 34–24W | −30.5L | 60.5U | +0.24 |
| 3 | @  LOULouisville | 31–41L | +3L | 57.5O | −0.30 |
| 2 | vs  UCDUC Davis | 56–10W | −32.5W | 59.5O | +1.51 |