Louisiana
5-25-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt · ATS 5-1-1
5:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
WIN PROB
67%
UL
Southern Miss
1-51-5 · 0-2 Sun Belt · ATS 2-4
- Spread
- UL −10
- Open −11 · −110
- Total
- 52.5
- Open 52.5 · o −110
- Model line
- UL −7.4+2.6
- Model total 51.7
- Win probability
- 67%
- Projected score
- 29.5 – 22.2
- UL – USM
- Projected plays
- 135
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- UL −10
- open −11
- Model
- −7.4+2.6
- UL
- Total
- 52.5
- model 51.7
| Market · consensusMarket | Open | Now | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread ULSTEAM · 4 BOOKSRLM | −11 | −10 | −7.4 |
Total | 52.5 | 52.5 | 51.7 |
Moneyline UL | −428 | −395 | −205 |
Line movement
−11
−10
−9
−8
−7.4MODEL- SUN 5:12PTotal 53.5 → 52.5
- SUN 6:00PSpread −11.5 → −10.5STEAM · 4 BOOKS
- SUN 6:12PSpread −11.5 → −10.5
- FRI 2:45ASpread −10.5 → −10 · 59% tickets ULSpread −10.5 → −10 · 59% on ULRLM
Steam = 4+ books in 5 min. RLM = line moves against the ticket majority.
Bet splits
DRAFTKINGS · VIA DK NETWORK
UL −10 · 59% / 33%USM +10 · 41% / 67%
Over · 100% / 100%Under · 0% / 0%
DraftKings bettors, as of 7:15 AM ET. Top bar tickets, bottom bar handle. A 26-pt gap on USM suggests larger, sharper bets.