Louisiana
5-25-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt · ATS 5-1-1
5:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg
WIN PROB
67%
UL
Southern Miss
1-51-5 · 0-2 Sun Belt · ATS 2-4
- Spread
- UL −10
- Open −11 · −110
- Total
- 52.5
- Open 52.5 · o −110
- Model line
- UL −7.4+2.6
- Model total 51.7
- Win probability
- 67%
- Projected score
- 29.5 – 22.2
- UL – USM
- Projected plays
- 135
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- UL −10
- open −11
- Model
- −7.4+2.6
- UL
- Total
- 52.5
- model 51.7
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric |   ULUL |   USMUSM | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 31.1 | 29.7 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 66.7 | 68.2 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 37.9% | 45.7% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | −12.9% | −3.2% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 33.1% | 37.9% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 18% | 29% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 33:27 | 25:43 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 33.1 | Own 26.8 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%