

San José State
4-34-3 · 2-1 Mountain West · ATS 4-3
5:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · MW+
Mackay Stadium · Reno
WIN PROB
61%
NEV


Nevada
2-42-4 · 1-2 Mountain West · ATS 4-2
- Spread
- NEV −6.5
- Open −5.5 · −110
- Total
- 46.5
- Open 45.5 · o −110
- Model line
- NEV −4.8+1.7
- Model total 49.2
- Win probability
- 61%
- Projected score
- 22.2 – 27.0
- SJSU – NEV
- Projected plays
- 129
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- NEV −6.5
- open −5.5
- Model
- −4.8+1.7
- NEV
- Total
- 46.5
- model 49.2
Previous meetings
NEVADA LEADS 8–4 SINCE 2013
| Season | Week | Site | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Week 12 | at Nevada | 55–10 | |
| 2024 | Week 6 | at San José State | 35–31 | |
| 2022 | Week 9 | at San José State | 35–28 | |
| 2021 | Week 10 | at Nevada | 27–24 | |
| 2020 | Week 15 | at San José State | 30–20 | |
| 2019 | Week 7 | at Nevada | 41–38 | |
| 2018 | Week 12 | at San José State | 21–12 | |
| 2017 | Week 11 | at Nevada | 59–14 | |
| 2016 | Week 7 | at San José State | 14–10 | |
| 2015 | Week 11 | at Nevada | 37–34 |
Recent form
LAST FIVE FINALS · CLOSING LINES · NET EPA / PLAY
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 24–11W | −6.5W | 46.5U | +0.16 |
| 6 | vs | 13–16L | −4.5L | 42.5U | −0.09 |
| 5 | @ | 20–16W | +3W | 51.5U | −0.03 |
| 3 | vs | 10–26L | +4L | 47.5U | −0.20 |
| 2 | vs | 30–20W | −21.5L | 58.5U | +0.08 |
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 17–31L | +14.5W | 42.5O | −0.32 |
| 6 | @ | 30–13W | −10W | 48.5U | +0.51 |
| 4 | vs | 33–36L | +5.5W | 50.5O | −0.04 |
| 3 | @ | 20–27L | −4L | 50.5U | −0.21 |
| 2 | vs | 7–20L | +5L | 51.5U | −0.34 |

