North Dakota State
21 – 13
FinalCW
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu
Hawai'i
- Spread
- NDSU −8.5
- Open −7.5
- Total
- 39.5
- Open 40
- Model line
- NDSU −11.6
- Model total 46.0+3.1
- Win probability
- 76%
- Projected score
- 28.8–17.2
- NDSU – HAW
- Projected plays
- 135
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
- Spread
- NDSU −8.5
- open −7.5
- Model
- −11.6
- NDSU+3.1
- Total
- 39.5
- model 46.0
- Win probability
- 76%
- NDSU
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric |   NDSUNDSU |   HAWHAW | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 27.5 | 27.0 | 28.7 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 64.3 | 70.7 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 44.6% | 63.2% | 48.2% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | −10.1% | +15.3% | −1.8% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 40.6% | 59.6% | 44.7% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 28% | 20% | 26% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 33:44 | — | 30:03 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 30.5 | Own 26.8 | Own 29.7 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%