ACC · 3-4 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 2-5
California Golden Bears
HC Tosh Lupoi (1st yr) · OC Jordan Somerville · DC Michael Hutchings
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating−5.8100th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—8 of 30 scored
ACC · 3-4 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 2-5
California
Golden Bears · HC Tosh Lupoi (1st yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating−5.8100th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—8 of 30 scored
California
3-4 · 2-2 ACC
POWER RATING−5.8100th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—8 of 30 scored
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U2-5 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG42%3.0 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.11102nd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   UCLAUCLA | L24–45 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.51 | 33% | 58% | 12% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.51 · SR 33% · O 53.5WE 12% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Syracuseat Syracuse | W21–18 | +4+4 | W | +0.01 | 36% | 34% | 53% | U 57 | — | |
EPA +0.01 · SR 36% · U 57WE 53% | |||||||||||
| 3 |  WagnerWagner | W49–7 | −58−58 | L | +0.82 | 60% | 26% | 100% | U 65.5 | — | |
EPA +0.82 · SR 60% · U 65.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   ClemsonClemson | L10–24 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.23 | 36% | 35% | 21% | U 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.23 · SR 36% · U 52.5WE 21% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at UNLVat UNLV | L31–39 | +2+2 | L | −0.14 | 34% | 29% | 46% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.14 · SR 34% · O 52.5WE 46% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   Virginia TechVirginia Tech | W25–20 | +11.5+11.5 | W | +0.05 | 45% | 44% | 64% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.05 · SR 45% · U 51.5WE 64% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Wake ForestWake Forest | L7–41 | +10+10 | L | −1.28 | 30% | 63% | 2% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA −1.28 · SR 30% · U 54.5WE 2% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at SMUat SMUNEXT | SAT 12:00 CWSAT 12:00 | +19+19 | — | — | — | — | 16% | 55 | +16.2 | |
MODEL +16.2 · TOTAL 55WP 16% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at NC Stateat NC State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+9.3 | 29% | +9.3 | ||||||
MODEL +9.3WP 29% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   at Virginiaat Virginia | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+9.9 | 27% | +9.9 | ||||||
MODEL +9.9WP 27% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   StanfordStanford | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−7.8 | 68% | −7.8 | ||||||
MODEL −7.8WP 68% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   PittsburghPittsburgh | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+11 | 25% | +11 | ||||||
MODEL +11WP 25% | |||||||||||