reportedIndiana Daily Student football desk@Nathan Shriberg
9hUnconfirmed tip: Martin could play against Michigan on Saturday.
Khobie Martin · RBCHECKING
Big Ten · #6 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 1-6 · O/U 3-4
Indiana Hoosiers
HC Curt Cignetti (3rd yr) · OC Mike Shanahan · DC Bryant Haines
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating16.77th
CFP odds75%−1
PLAYOFFIN→LIKELY
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—22 of 30 scored
Big Ten · #6 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 1-6 · O/U 3-4
Indiana
Hoosiers · HC Curt Cignetti (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating16.77th
CFP odds · outlook75%−1IN→LIKELY
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—22 of 30 scored
Indiana
#6 · 6-1 · 3-1 Big Ten
POWER RATING16.77th in FBS
CFP ODDS75%−1 this week
PROJ. WINS9.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LIKELY
1 loss now · CFP 75% in sims · CCG 35% · title 17%
FAN PULSE—22 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
INDIANA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   North TexasNorth Texas | W52–16 | −40−40 | L | +0.44 | 50% | 38% | 100% | 46 | 34.0 | |
| 2 |   HowardHoward | W55–0 | −57.5−57.5 | L | +1.34 | 59% | 20% | 100% | 61 | 32.0 | |
| 3 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | W38–0 | −45−45 | L | +0.69 | 47% | 31% | 99% | 66 | 34.8 | |
| 4 |   NorthwesternNorthwestern | W29–23 | −20.5−20.5 | L | −0.14 | 50% | 43% | 63% | 68 | 31.5 | |
| 5 |   at Rutgersat Rutgers | W47–15 | −24.5−24.5 | W | +0.97 | 56% | 32% | 99% | 67 | 30.9 | |
| 6 |   at Nebraskaat Nebraska | W20–17 | −9.5−9.5 | L | +0.09 | 32% | 41% | 57% | 44 | 26.9 | |
| 7 |   Ohio StateOhio State | L15–19 | +3+3 | L | −0.06 | 35% | 38% | 38% | 69 | 26.6 | |
| 8 |   at Michiganat MichiganNEXT | SAT 12:00 FOXSAT 12:00 | −7.5−7.5 | — | — | — | — | 67% | 117 | — | |
| 9 |   MinnesotaMinnesota | OCT 31OCT 31 | −22.2 proj−22.2 | 91% | |||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   USCUSC | NOV 14NOV 14 | −9.9 proj−9.9 | 73% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Washingtonat Washington | NOV 21NOV 21 | −11.9 proj−11.9 | 76% | |||||||
| 13 |   PurduePurdue | NOV 28NOV 28 | −19.1 proj−19.1 | 88% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st50%n 4100%n 251%n 15333%n 3
2nd44%n 1840%n 2538%n 4820%n 15
3rd81%n 1643%n 2125%n 2457%n 7
4th75%n 425%n 4—n 0—n 0
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 343 OF 344 PLAYS343 OF 344 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 49% | +0.28 | 46% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 0% | −0.31 | 60% |
| No-huddle17% | 17% | 50% | +0.21 | 38% |
| Huddle83% | 83% | 48% | +0.29 | 47% |
StartersSTARTERS
114 of 5 games121 of 5BASE D4-2-53 of 7
114 of 54-2-5base D · 3 of 7
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 49 % of the time (+0.28 EPA a play; −0.31 under center). No-huddle on 17 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 4 of 5 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (3 of 7).
Next game
SAT 12:00 FOX · MICHIGAN STADIUMSAT 12:00 FOX
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten crews−0.4 to +0.3 · 51 games | −0.1 | −0.4 to +0.3 | 51 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 3 games | +0.5 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | −0.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −2.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | +2.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +1.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTChris Coyte−1.1 / g · 4 games · noise−1.1 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTBryan Banks+3.1 / g · 3 games · noise+3.1 / g · 3 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on Indiana than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Indiana than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #10 · SRJosh Hoover+0.48EPA/dropback · 7thCPOE+6.0aDOT12.0Sack %4.0%RB · #29 · RS-SRLee Beebe Jr.42.4%rush SR · 146thYards per carry5.5Explosive rate11.3%Rush EPA+0.07WR · #80 · JRCharlie Becker3.97YPTPA · 4thTarget share34.3%EPA / target+0.74aDOT15.5DL · #12 · RS-SRTobi Osunsanmi11havoc plays · 10thTFL11Sacks7Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | IndianaIU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.21 | 18th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43.8% | 48th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.44 | 2nd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.06 | 77th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.35 | 5th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.7% | 54th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.23 | 68th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.2% | 50th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47% | 30th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.49 | 61st | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 70% | 45th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 29.7 | 102nd | 28.0 |