

Western Michigan
5-25-2 · 3-0 MAC · ATS 3-4
12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · CBSSN
Glass Bowl · Toledo
WIN PROB
63%
TOL


Toledo
5-25-2 · 2-1 MAC · ATS 3-3-1
- Spread
- TOL −3
- Open −3.5 · −104
- Total
- 47
- Open 45.5 · o −110
- Model line
- TOL −5.6+2.6
- Model total 51.3
- Win probability
- 63%
- Projected score
- 22.9 – 28.5
- WMU – TOL
- Projected plays
- 127
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- TOL −3
- open −3.5
- Model
- −5.6+2.6
- TOL
- Total
- 47
- model 51.3
Previous meetings
TOLEDO LEADS 7–5 SINCE 2013
| Season | Week | Site | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Week 4 | at Western Michigan | 14–13 | |
| 2023 | Week 4 | at Toledo | 49–31 | |
| 2022 | Week 13 | at Western Michigan | 20–14 | |
| 2021 | Week 8 | at Toledo | 34–15 | |
| 2020 | Week 11 | at Western Michigan | 41–38 | |
| 2019 | Week 6 | at Toledo | 31–24 | |
| 2018 | Week 9 | at Western Michigan | 51–24 | |
| 2017 | Week 13 | at Toledo | 37–10 | |
| 2016 | Week 13 | at Western Michigan | 55–35 | |
| 2015 | Week 13 | at Toledo | 35–30 |
Recent form
LAST FIVE FINALS · CLOSING LINES · NET EPA / PLAY
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 21–14W | −7.5L | 42.5U | +0.23 |
| 6 | vs | 38–7W | −13.5W | 43.5O | +0.45 |
| 5 | @ | 20–17W | −13.5L | 46.5U | +0.11 |
| 4 | vs | 7–32L | +8.5L | 50.5U | −0.62 |
| 3 | @ | 28–21W | −8.5L | 43.5O | +0.16 |
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 34–14W | −7.5W | 51.5U | +0.43 |
| 6 | vs | 8–23L | −18.5L | 54.5U | −0.14 |
| 5 | @ | 39–24W | −21L | 52.5O | +0.13 |
| 4 | vs | 41–16W | −3W | 50.5O | +0.88 |
| 3 | vs | 49–48W | −5L | 48.5O | +0.09 |

