Pittsburgh
5-25-2 · 2-2 ACC · ATS 4-3
12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN
Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens
WIN PROB
84%
MIA
Miami
#1 · 6-0#1 · 6-0 · 4-0 ACC · ATS 4-2
- Spread
- MIA −20
- Open −23 · −110
- Total
- 48.5
- Open 51.5 · o −110
- Model line
- MIA −16.2+3.8
- Model total 54.5
- Win probability
- 84%
- Projected score
- 19.2 – 35.3
- PITT – MIA
- Projected plays
- 139
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- MIA −20
- open −23
- Model
- −16.2+3.8
- MIA
- Total
- 48.5
- model 54.5
Previous meetings
MIAMI LEADS 8–3 SINCE 2013
| Season | Week | Site | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Week 14 | at Pittsburgh |   MIA | 38–7 |
| 2022 | Week 13 | at Miami |   PITT | 42–16 |
| 2021 | Week 9 | at Pittsburgh | MIA | 38–34 |
| 2020 | Week 7 | at Miami | MIA | 31–19 |
| 2019 | Week 9 | at Pittsburgh | MIA | 16–12 |
| 2018 | Week 13 | at Miami | MIA | 24–3 |
| 2017 | Week 13 | at Pittsburgh | PITT | 24–14 |
| 2016 | Week 10 | at Miami | MIA | 51–28 |
| 2015 | Week 13 | at Pittsburgh | MIA | 29–24 |
| 2014 | Week 14 | at Miami | PITT | 35–23 |
Recent form
LAST FIVE FINALS · CLOSING LINES · NET EPA / PLAY
Pittsburgh| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @  BCBoston College | 21–27L | −6.5L | 42.5O | −0.09 |
| 6 | vs  UNCNorth Carolina | 17–21L | −3.5L | 47.5U | −0.06 |
| 5 | @  VTVirginia Tech | 35–33W | +1.5W | 53.5O | −0.05 |
| 4 | vs  BUCKBucknell | 59–0W | −54.5W | 64U | +1.18 |
| 3 | vs  SYRSyracuse | 27–13W | −11W | 51.5U | +0.16 |
Miami| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs  FSUFlorida State | 43–35W | −20.5L | 57.5O | +0.11 |
| 5 | @  CLEMClemson | 41–13W | −15W | 48.5O | +0.37 |
| 4 | vs  CMUCentral Michigan | 52–3W | −41.5W | 52.5O | +1.15 |
| 3 | @  WAKEWake Forest | 33–20W | −20.5L | 56U | +0.13 |
| 2 | vs  FAMUFlorida A&M | 77–7W | −59.5W | 66O | +1.67 |