Week 8
OCT 19–24 · 56 FBS GAMES · 17 RANKED GAMES
Saturday
OCT 24 · 44 GAMES
Largest model edge9.6ptsColorado +3.9 model vs +13.5 market
Best matchup · combined net EPA+0.48/playHouston at Utah
Fastest projected pace150playsBaylor at Kansas · 24.7 sec/play combined
Sharpest line move+5.5spreadTroy–UL Monroe −17.5 → −12 · 13% of handle
Kick · TVMatchupSpreadTotalModelNet EPA · Rk
Tuesday, Oct 20
3 GAMESFINALCBSSN
Middle Tennessee4-326
Florida International3-423+10.5
−10.5
46.5
+320−410
FIU −10.6
74%
−0.13108
−0.0789
Crew TBA
OWR M. Allen+7
ODB S. Sterlin+9
80°13 mph
FINALESPNU
Missouri State2-538
Delaware3-461+3
−3
54.5
+142−170
MOST −0.93.9
52%
−0.15114
−0.14112
Crew TBA
ORB J. Dubar+7
OLB C. Gallagher+2
58°5 mph
FINALESPN2
South Alabama4-313
Marshall4-320−1.5
+1.5
66.5
−125+105
USA −4.83.3
61%
−0.1095
−0.17119
Crew TBA
GTDDL Manny Waller+10
OFSOL X. Bausley+4
62°2 mph
Wednesday, Oct 21
1 GAMEFINALESPN2
New Mexico State3-430
Sam Houston1-624−3
+3
46.5
−162+136
SHSU −3.16.1
57%
−0.11101
−0.12104
Crew TBA
OFSDL J. Sandiford+8
OFSOL B. Stukes+7
74°5 mph
Thursday, Oct 22
3 GAMESFINAL/OTESPNU
James Madison7-131
App State5-234−12.5
+12.5
56.5
−485+370
JMU −10.22.3
73%
+0.1332
−0.0275
Zarzour · WoodyREPORTED
Sideline: ChesterOOL F. Tinilau+1
ODL A. Benton+3
54°7 mph
FINALCBSSN
Liberty6-134
Kennesaw State1-66−8.5
+8.5
50.5
−380+300
LIB −8.1
69%
+0.1818
−0.16116
Crew TBA
OS J. Vessel+6
OWR Z. Booker+5
67°5 mph
FINAL/OTESPN2
East Carolina3-434
Memphis6-241+10.5
−10.5
55.5
+330−425
MEM −8.32.2
69%
−0.0483
+0.0552
Crew TBA
OWR J. Melvin+9
OCB A. Richard Jr.+5
75°5 mph
Friday, Oct 23
5 GAMESFINALCBSSN
Massachusetts4-416
UConn4-335+12.5
−12.5
53.5
+390−520
CONN −8.73.8
70%
−0.0584
−0.0169
Crew TBA
QQB W. Watson III+8
Not reported yet
52°5 mph
FINALESPN
Duke5-219
Virginia4-416+2.5
−2.5
47.5
+114−135
UVA −0.22.3
51%
+0.0651
−0.0171
Monaco · RodgersREPORTED
Sideline: BoyleOS A. Pellicciotta+11
OFSWR R. Flores Jr.+23
56°5 mph
FINALESPN2
Army5-238
Tulsa4-435−1.5
+1.5
53.5
−118−102
TLSA −1.32.8
53%
−0.0171
+0.0454
Lyle · IngogliaREPORTED
OLB J. Moss+14
OWR D. Gee Jr.+10
74°5 mph
FINALCW
Air Force5-214
Wyoming5-328−7
+7
46.5
−258+210
AFA −8.2
69%
+0.0650
−0.19123
Crew TBA
QRB R. Conti+8
OS B. Cheek+10
52°10 mph
FINALESPN
NC State3-428
Stanford4-431−7.5
+7.5
54.5
−290+235
NCSU −9.01.5
71%
−0.0173
−0.23129
Shroff · WareREPORTED
Sideline: UberORB J. Scott+13
OLB M. Rose+11
61°6 mph
Saturday, Oct 24
44 GAMES12:00 PMESPN
Pittsburgh5-2
1Miami6-0+20
−20o −23
48.5o 51.5
+948−1700
MIA −16.23.8
84%
+0.1039
+0.325
Crew TBA
OFSQB M. Heintschel+10
OOL M. Buchanan+6
81°14 mph
12:00 PMPeacock
Rutgers2-4
24Northwestern5-1+16
−16o −16.5
59o 58.5
+525−750
NU −16.4
84%
−0.12105
+0.2015
Crew TBA
OFSDB K. Sanders+9
OTE L. Dehnicke+13
62°10 mph
12:00 PMCBSSN
Western Michigan5-2
Toledo5-2+3
−3o −3.5
47o 45.5
+125−145
TOL −5.62.6
63%
−0.0276
+0.0261
Crew TBA
Not reported yet
Not reported yet
58°0 mph
12:00 PMFOX
6Indiana6-1
Michigan4-2−7.5o −8
+7.5
42.5o 42.5
−297+242
IU −7.5
67%
+0.279
+0.1036
Crew TBA
None reported
OOL A. Sprague+14
59°3 mph
12:00 PMCW
California3-4
23SMU5-1+19
−19o −17.5
55o 52.5
+705−1132
SMU −16.22.8
84%
−0.11102
+0.1035
Crew TBA
ORB A. Mohammed+12
ORB D. Green+11
75°5 mph
12:00 PMFS1
8Texas Tech6-0
Cincinnati4-2−11.5o −11.5
+11.5
56.5o 55.5
−456+350
TTU −9.81.7
72%
+0.1721
0.0066
Crew TBA
ORB C. Dickey+7
ODL J. Hough+5
63°2 mph
12:00 PM · ESPNMODEL MIA −16.2+3.8
Pittsburgh5-2+201Miami6-0−20OFSPITT QB Heintschelo/u 48.5
12:00 PM · PeacockRLMMODEL NU −16.4
Rutgers2-4+1624Northwestern5-1−16ONU TE Dehnickeo/u 59
12:00 PM · CBSSNMODEL TOL −5.6+2.6
Western Michigan5-2+3Toledo5-2−358° · o/u 47
12:00 PM · FOXMODEL IU −7.5
6Indiana6-1−7.5Michigan4-2+7.5OMICH OL Spragueo/u 42.5
LINES: CONSENSUS · 3:40 AM ET · STEAM = 4+ BOOKS IN 5 MIN · RLM = AGAINST THE TICKET MAJORITY · NET EPA OPP-ADJ, GARBAGE TIME EXCL.