Standings

8 teams · 7 conf games

Pac-12

8 teams · 7 conf games · Through wk 8

Title favorite

50%

Boise State

Cutline

5-2

in 62% of sims

Title game

Dec 4

CBS

Title favorite

50%Boise State

Likeliest title game

64%Boise State vs Oregon State

Cutline

5-2gets in 62% of sims

Tiebreaker needed

34%Tie at the cut

Standings

Odds from 10K sims · Tiebreakers applied

Pac-12 standings
Seed	Team	Conference record	Tiebreaker that set the place	Overall record	Net EPA per playNet EPA per play and FBS rank	Net EPA rank (FBS)	havoc rating	Strength of schedule left (rank)	Projected conference record	Title game odds	Conference title odds	Playoff odds	Playoff outlook now	Playoff outlook in the sims
1	Boise State, AP 21, now needs title, sims long shot	2-0	OPP%	5-1	+0.1429	29	+7.5	87	5.8–1.2	85%	50%CFP23%	23%	needs title	long shot
2	Oregon State, now needs title, sims long shot	3-0	OPP%	5-2	+0.1722	22	+5.9	67	5.5–1.5	78%	39%CFP3%	3%	needs title	long shot
Title game line						Title game line						Title game line			Title game line	Title game line
3	San Diego State, now needs title, sims out	2-1		3-4	−0.21128	128	−7.8	84	3.7–3.3	10%	2%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
4	Texas State, now needs title, sims out	1-1	RTG	3-3	+0.0453	53	+1.3	58	3.7–3.3	18%	7%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
5	Utah State, now needs title, sims out	1-1	RTG	2-4	−0.14114	114	−7.1	89	2.9–4.1	4%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
6	Fresno State, now needs title, sims long shot	1-2		4-3	−0.0171	71	−0.7	86	3.1–3.9	6%	2%CFP<1%	<1%	needs title	long shot
7	Washington State, now needs title, sims out	0-3	OPP%	1-6	−0.14109	109	−6.4	108	1.6–5.4	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
8	Colorado State, now needs title, sims out	0-2	OPP%	2-4	−0.17121	121	−9.6	79	1.6–5.4	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out

8 of 8

Playoff outlook

lock≥95likely≥70bubble≥30long shot>0

Sims: CFP % of 10K sims

Sims

lock≥95%likely≥70%bubble≥30%long shot>0%outnever in the field · CFP % of 10K sims, 12-team format

Title game matchups

Dec 4 · CBS

Boise State – Oregon State64%

Boise State – Texas State10%

Oregon State – Texas State7%

Oregon State – San Diego State6%

14 other pairings14%

Leverage this week

CCG odds · win / loseCCG if win / lose

Utah State at Texas StateTXST 22% / 5% · SAT 7:30 CBSSN

±17

Boise State at Washington StateBSU 89% / 73% · SAT 6:00 USA Network

±16

San Diego State at Colorado StateSDSU 15% / 5% · SAT 6:30 CW

±10

Tiebreak order

Unverified

Pac-12 2026 (havoc sims-s2)

H2HHead-to-head among the tied teams (3+ teams: combined record when all have met, else a team that beat or lost to all the others)

COMRecord vs common conference opponents

OPP%Combined conference win % of all conference opponents

Show all 5 rules

RTGhavoc rating (stands in for the conference's analytics / ranking step)

RANDDraw / coin toss (the table falls back to school name)

Steps in order; once a step separates a team, the rest start again at step 1. Approximations: common opponents from the top are ordered by conference win %, not tiebroken place; the havoc rating stands in for every analytics / ranking step. Pac-12 procedure not checked: shared default order. Order not checked against the conference's published procedure.