Standings

10 teams · 8 conf games

C-USA

10 teams · 8 conf games · Through wk 8

Title favorite

69%

Liberty

Cutline

6-2

in 71% of sims

Title game

Dec 4

CBSSN

Title favorite

69%Liberty

Likeliest title game

60%Liberty vs Jacksonville State

Cutline

6-2gets in 71% of sims

Tiebreaker needed

32%Tie at the cut

Standings

Odds from 10K sims · Tiebreakers applied

C-USA standings
Seed	Team	Conference record	Tiebreaker that set the place	Overall record	Net EPA per playNet EPA per play and FBS rank	Net EPA rank (FBS)	havoc rating	Strength of schedule left (rank)	Projected conference record	Title game odds	Conference title odds	Playoff odds	Playoff outlook now	Playoff outlook in the sims
1	Liberty, now needs title, sims bubble	3-0	RTG	6-1	+0.1818	18	+6.7	122	7.0–1.0	92%	69%CFP44%	44%	needs title	bubble
2	Jacksonville State, now needs title, sims long shot	3-0	RTG	5-2	−0.0481	81	−2.5	130	6.1–1.9	67%	20%CFP<1%	<1%	needs title	long shot
Title game line						Title game line						Title game line			Title game line	Title game line
3	Western Kentucky, now needs title, sims out	2-1	RTG	3-4	−0.14111	111	−6.6	99	4.3–3.7	13%	3%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
4	New Mexico State, now needs title, sims out	2-1	RTG	3-4	−0.11101	101	−7.5	98	4.2–3.8	13%	3%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
5	Middle Tennessee, now needs title, sims out	2-1	RTG	4-3	−0.13108	108	−8.1	105	4.3–3.7	8%	2%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
6	Florida International, now needs title, sims out	1-2	RTG	3-4	−0.0789	89	−4.2	113	3.7–4.3	3%	1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
7	Delaware, now needs title, sims out	1-2	H2H	3-4	−0.14112	112	−8.6	114	3.1–4.9	3%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
8	Missouri State, now needs title, sims out	1-2	H2H	2-5	−0.14114	114	−8.8	92	2.9–5.1	1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
9	Kennesaw State, now out, sims out	0-3	RAND	1-6	−0.16116	116	−8.9	124	2.2–5.8	<1%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
10	Sam Houston, now needs title, sims out	0-3	RAND	1-6	−0.12104	104	−8.9	118	2.1–5.8	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out

10 of 10

Playoff outlook

lock≥95likely≥70bubble≥30long shot>0

Sims: CFP % of 10K sims

Sims

lock≥95%likely≥70%bubble≥30%long shot>0%outnever in the field · CFP % of 10K sims, 12-team format

Title game matchups

Dec 4 · CBSSN

Liberty – Jacksonville State60%

Liberty – New Mexico State11%

Liberty – Western Kentucky11%

Liberty – Middle Tennessee5%

22 other pairings14%

Leverage this week

CCG odds · win / loseCCG if win / lose

Jacksonville State at New Mexico StateJXST 83% / 46% · WED 8:00 ESPN2

±37

Florida International at LibertyLIB 95% / 79% · SAT 3:30 CBSSN

±16

Delaware at Western KentuckyWKU 19% / 4% · TUE 7:00 CBSSN

±15

Tiebreak order

C-USA 2026 (havoc sims-s2)

H2HHead-to-head among the tied teams (3+ teams: combined record when all have met, else a team that beat or lost to all the others)

RTGhavoc rating (stands in for the conference's analytics / ranking step)

RANDDraw / coin toss (the table falls back to school name)

Steps in order; once a step separates a team, the rest start again at step 1. Approximations: common opponents from the top are ordered by conference win %, not tiebroken place; the havoc rating stands in for every analytics / ranking step. rtg stands in for the CFP ranking and computer-ranking averages (SP+, SportSource, SOR, KPI); the Academic Progress Rate step is not modelled.